Drogheda United vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Drogheda United v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Drogheda United vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Drogheda United
İRL
1-2
HT 0-0
Waterford FC
İRL
1-0
HT 0-0
Waterford FC
İRL
0-1
HT 0-1
Waterford FC
İRK
1-3
HT 0-1
Drogheda United
İR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Waterford FC
İR1
Drogheda United 1-4 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC ran out comfortable winners over Drogheda United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Waterford FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Drogheda United had 54% of the ball to Waterford FC's 46%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.46 to 2.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Drogheda United and 0.83 for Waterford FC.
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Waterford FC?
Drogheda United 1-4 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Waterford FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 37%, draw 26%, Waterford FC 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.