Bohemians 2-2 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 35% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.03
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
11%
5.63
X/2
16%
5.27
X/X
10%
4.19
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.67
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.85/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.88
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.3 Crosses 17.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 0.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 Passes 227
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.11.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
20.10.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
11.08.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
14.04.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-3 HT 1-3 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
10.03.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
2-2
AWAY St Patricks
1.41 xG 1.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
248 Passes 131
66% Pass Accuracy 51%
25 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians and St Patricks couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 60% of the ball to St Patricks's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.41 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bohemians and 1.33 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs St Patricks?

Bohemians 2-2 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 34%, draw 27%, St Patricks 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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