Galway United 0-2 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 37% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
13%
3.79
X/2
9%
8.75
X/X
18%
4.09
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
7.67
2/X
7%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
0.86/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.16
-27% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
28.0 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bohemians
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 7
07.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
24.08.2018 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
09.02.2018 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians HAZ
01.09.2017 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
26.05.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
17.03.2017 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
0-2
AWAY Bohemians
1.37 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 13
168 Passes 178
57% Pass Accuracy 59%
32 Box Touches 37
26 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians beat Galway United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galway United had 50% of the ball to Bohemians's 50%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.37 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Galway United and 1.50 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Bohemians?

Galway United 0-2 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Galway United 43%, draw 30%, Bohemians 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Galway United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
1 Apr 2024
15:00 Dundalk vs Drogheda United Analysis →
19:00 Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →
19:00 St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
19:00 Shelbourne vs Derry City Analysis →