Waterford FC 1-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 33% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.26
1/2
13%
24.0
1/X
8%
17.0
X/1
10%
10.1
X/2
13%
3.72
X/X
11%
5.18
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.08
2/X
6%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
0.35/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.57
+49% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.0 Crosses 15.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.09.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
18.06.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
03.05.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
21.09.2020 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 6-1 HT 3-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
24.02.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.49 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
215 Passes 170
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers nicked a narrow win over Waterford FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 55% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 45%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.49 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Waterford FC and 3.33 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Waterford FC 1-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 25%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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