Shelbourne 0-0 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.21
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.98
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
12%
5.89
X/2
10%
4.66
X/X
18%
3.39
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.6
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
0.87/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.96
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 72%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
11.2 Crosses 16.1
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Derry City
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
360 Passes 342
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
30.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
02.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
31.03.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
13.11.2022 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-4 HT 0-2 Derry City Derry City İRK
13.11.2022 Derry City Derry City 4-0 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
0-0
AWAY Derry City
0.10 xG 0.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
227 Passes 338
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Box Touches 16
5 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne and Derry City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Shelbourne had 43% of the ball to Derry City's 57%, shots finished 3-10, expected goals 0.10 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Shelbourne and 1.67 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Derry City?

Shelbourne 0-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 36%, draw 30%, Derry City 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shelbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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