Waterford FC 1-2 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.85
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
24.65
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
9%
8.59
X/2
13%
4.39
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
32%
2.45
2/X
6%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.65 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.08/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.1 Crosses 21.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St Patricks
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.61 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
263 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.07.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
19.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.07.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
19.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-2
AWAY St Patricks
0.38 xG 1.08
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
177 Passes 356
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks nicked a narrow win over Waterford FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 37% of the ball to St Patricks's 63%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.38 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Waterford FC and 1.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Waterford FC 1-2 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 24%, draw 22%, St Patricks 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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