Cork City 1-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.4
6+ Goals
6%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.93
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
17%
5.48
X/2
18%
5.7
X/X
16%
3.98
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
9%
4.19
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.8
Value flag · 2/X at 13.8 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.11/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.49
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.7 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
205 Passes 258
61% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
30.06.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
02.06.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
31.03.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 1-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.08.2017 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
19.05.2017 Cork City Cork City 5-0 HT 4-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
1-1
AWAY Drogheda United
1.50 xG 3.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
253 Passes 126
69% Pass Accuracy 56%
11 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City and Drogheda United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cork City had 64% of the ball to Drogheda United's 36%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.50 to 3.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cork City and 0.83 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Drogheda United?

Cork City 1-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cork City 34%, draw 32%, Drogheda United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cork City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Under 2.5
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