Sligo Rovers 1-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.82
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
11%
7.15
X/2
15%
4.63
X/X
17%
4.06
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.97
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
0.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.95
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
17.5 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 1.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
244 Passes 389
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
10.08.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
31.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.03.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
26.08.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
09.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-2
AWAY Shelbourne
0.90 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Sligo Rovers 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Shelbourne made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 56% of the ball to Shelbourne's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sligo Rovers and 0.83 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Sligo Rovers 1-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 30%, draw 31%, Shelbourne 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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