St Patricks 3-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.7
X/1
12%
3.82
X/2
9%
10.4
X/X
10%
5.58
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
10%
8.04
2/X
4%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.67/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.43
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.6 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 0.53
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
356 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
19.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.07.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
19.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.08.2021 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
3-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.53 xG 0.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
232 Passes 374
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks ran out comfortable winners over Waterford FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, St Patricks had 41% of the ball to Waterford FC's 59%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.53 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St Patricks and 1.50 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

St Patricks 3-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 52%, draw 24%, Waterford FC 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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