Derry City 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.47
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
16%
4.55
X/2
6%
6.1
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
13%
4.81
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.32/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
-32% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.6 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
19.04.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-3 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
04.03.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
15.09.2023 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
26.06.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
01.05.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
1-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.34 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
315 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City and Shamrock Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Derry City had 56% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Derry City and 1.67 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Derry City 1-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Derry City 44%, draw 30%, Shamrock Rovers 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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