Bohemians 0-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.52
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.24
X/2
7%
8.13
X/X
14%
5.0
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
12%
6.05
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -21%
1.29/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.25
-13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 69%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.5 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 0.63
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
351 Passes 196
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
02.08.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
19.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.03.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
22.01.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians IRLLSC
22.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
0-1
AWAY Drogheda United
1.89 xG 0.54
73% Ball Possession 27%
25 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
431 Passes 92
83% Pass Accuracy 46%
32 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bohemians had 73% of the ball to Drogheda United's 27%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bohemians.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bohemians and 1.33 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

Bohemians 0-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 44%, draw 29%, Drogheda United 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bohemians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5
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