Drogheda United 2-2 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.21
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.45
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
6.14
X/2
12%
4.76
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
32.5
2/2
17%
3.13
2/X
9%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -29%
1.38/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.88
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 72%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.4 Crosses 15.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bohemians
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.47 xG 0.93
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
214 Passes 349
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.03.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
22.01.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians IRLLSC
22.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
04.08.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 4-2 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-2
AWAY Bohemians
1.11 xG 1.95
35% Ball Possession 65%
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
144 Passes 359
59% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United and Bohemians shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Drogheda United had 35% of the ball to Bohemians's 65%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.11 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Drogheda United and 1.67 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Drogheda United 2-2 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 40%, draw 26%, Bohemians 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Drogheda United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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