Galway United 1-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.35
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.1
X/1
12%
4.11
X/2
17%
6.47
X/X
12%
3.55
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
8%
5.83
2/X
11%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.08/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.86
-16% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.4 Crosses 11.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 0.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
182 Passes 419
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
28.06.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
19.04.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
04.03.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
13.08.2021 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
28.05.2021 Shelbourne Shelbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-0
AWAY Shelbourne
1.52 xG 0.57
32% Ball Possession 68%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
157 Passes 453
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United nicked a narrow win over Shelbourne 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Galway United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galway United had 32% of the ball to Shelbourne's 68%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.52 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Galway United and 1.50 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Shelbourne?

Galway United 1-0 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Galway United 36%, draw 33%, Shelbourne 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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