Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Shamrock Rovers
İRL
Derry City 1-2 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Shamrock Rovers nicked a narrow win over Derry City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shamrock Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Derry City had 40% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 60%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.90 to 0.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Derry City and 1.33 for Shamrock Rovers.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City 1-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Derry City 35%, draw 31%, Shamrock Rovers 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.