Drogheda United 1-0 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.66
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 34% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.6
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
12%
6.2
X/2
11%
5.17
X/X
12%
4.21
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.48
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.15
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 67%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.0 Crosses 20.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 1.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
155 Passes 378
58% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
20.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
02.08.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
19.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.03.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
22.01.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians IRLLSC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-0
AWAY Bohemians
1.27 xG 1.17
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
130 Passes 350
54% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Drogheda United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Drogheda United had 34% of the ball to Bohemians's 66%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.27 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Drogheda United and 0.83 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Drogheda United 1-0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 38%, draw 28%, Bohemians 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
23 May 2025
21:45 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
21:45 St Patricks vs Waterford FC Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs Cork City Analysis →
21:45 Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →