Bohemians 0-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
13%
4.09
X/2
11%
8.81
X/X
17%
4.17
2/1
12%
28.0
2/2
12%
7.7
2/X
6%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
+0% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.6 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Drogheda United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 0.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
367 Passes 175
76% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
02.08.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
19.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.03.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
22.01.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians IRLLSC
22.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
0-1
AWAY Drogheda United
0.50 xG 0.60
73% Ball Possession 27%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
480 Passes 106
81% Pass Accuracy 51%
13 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Bohemians had 73% of the ball to Drogheda United's 27%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bohemians and 1.33 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

Bohemians 0-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 43%, draw 29%, Drogheda United 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bohemians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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