St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
St Patricks
İRL
St Patricks 2-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks got the better of Derry City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, St Patricks had 53% of the ball to Derry City's 47%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 2.11 to 0.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St Patricks and 2.00 for Derry City.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Derry City?
St Patricks 2-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 45%, draw 29%, Derry City 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.