Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
St Patricks
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
St Patricks
İRK
4-1
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 0-0
St Patricks
İRL
1-1
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
Derry City 3-1 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City beat St Patricks 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Derry City had 33% of the ball to St Patricks's 67%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 2.00 to 1.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for St Patricks.
What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patricks?
Derry City 3-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs St Patricks?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Derry City 46%, draw 29%, St Patricks 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.