St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
St Patricks
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
St Patricks
İRK
St Patricks 1-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks squeezed past Derry City 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, St Patricks had 51% of the ball to Derry City's 49%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.63 to 1.11 — on chances, Derry City could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for St Patricks and 2.00 for Derry City.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Derry City?
St Patricks 1-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 41%, draw 30%, Derry City 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.