St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
St Patricks v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St Patricks 1-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks squeezed past Derry City 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.
Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in St Patricks's favour, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.63 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Derry City.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for St Patricks against 2.00 for Derry City.
St Patricks vs Derry City Result & Final Score
St Patricks 1 - 0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 41%, draw 30%, Derry City 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.