Shelbourne 2-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.35
X/1
20%
3.36
X/2
9%
12.6
X/X
15%
5.08
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
11.35
2/X
5%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.56/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.56
-17% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 68%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.3 Crosses 14.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Drogheda United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.99
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 178
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
10.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
05.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
03.11.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-4 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
05.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
01.05.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-1
AWAY Drogheda United
1.51 xG 0.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
423 Passes 143
80% Pass Accuracy 56%
21 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Drogheda United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Shelbourne had 68% of the ball to Drogheda United's 32%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shelbourne's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shelbourne and 1.50 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Shelbourne 2-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 48%, draw 28%, Drogheda United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
25 Oct 2024
21:45 St Patricks vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 Waterford FC vs Bohemians Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →