St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
St Patricks
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
St Patricks
İRK
4-1
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 0-0
St Patricks
İRL
St Patricks 0-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City squeezed past St Patricks 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Derry City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, St Patricks had 49% of the ball to Derry City's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St Patricks and 1.83 for Derry City.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Derry City?
St Patricks 0-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 35%, draw 33%, Derry City 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.