Shelbourne 1-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.47
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.25
X/1
16%
3.76
X/2
9%
8.2
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
7%
7.18
2/X
9%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.73/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.40
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +90%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 67%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.0 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.56 xG 0.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
16.10.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
10.10.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.08.2020 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
09.02.2018 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 1-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne HAZ
01.09.2017 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.38 xG 0.52
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
400 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne edged past Waterford FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shelbourne had 64% of the ball to Waterford FC's 36%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shelbourne and 0.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Waterford FC?

Shelbourne 1-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 44%, draw 32%, Waterford FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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