Derry City 3-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 27%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.11/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.36
+81% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St Patricks
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
343 Passes 308
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
22.04.2024 Derry City Derry City 3-1 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
01.03.2024 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
03.11.2023 Derry City Derry City 3-0 HT 2-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.08.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRK
05.06.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 4-1 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
3-0
AWAY St Patricks
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Derry City vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City ran out comfortable winners over St Patricks 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Derry City had 55% of the ball to St Patricks's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Derry City vs St Patricks?

Derry City 3-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Derry City 47%, draw 24%, St Patricks 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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