Bray Wanderers 0-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
14%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 67%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.02/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/3.03
-98% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -71%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2022 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
20.08.2021 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
11.06.2021 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-4 HT 1-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
02.04.2021 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-3 HT 2-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
30.08.2019 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
08.06.2019 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Shelbourne
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Bray Wanderers 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 39% of the ball to Shelbourne's 61%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bray Wanderers and 2.00 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Shelbourne?

Bray Wanderers 0-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 22%, draw 22%, Shelbourne 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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