Waterford FC 2-1 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
14%
4.92
X/2
11%
6.46
X/X
16%
4.16
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.89
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.03/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
+20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
20.7 Crosses 7.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cork City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.23 xG 1.39
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
364 Passes 194
73% Pass Accuracy 61%
34 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
21.08.2023 Cork City Cork City 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
09.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
15.08.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
18.04.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
14.03.2022 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
2-1
AWAY Cork City
1.80 xG 0.73
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
380 Passes 216
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 9
38 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC squeezed past Cork City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Waterford FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 61% of the ball to Cork City's 39%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.80 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Waterford FC and 1.67 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Cork City?

Waterford FC 2-1 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 39%, draw 33%, Cork City 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waterford FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waterford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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