Sligo Rovers 2-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.99
1/2
8%
24.3
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
12%
8.46
X/2
16%
4.12
X/X
15%
4.85
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.36
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
0.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.72
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
215 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.5 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.63 xG 1.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 433
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
28.06.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
12.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
09.03.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
03.11.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
05.06.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-3 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
2-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.74 xG 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
182 Passes 379
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers squeezed past Shamrock Rovers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 37% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 63%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 1.74 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sligo Rovers and 2.33 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Sligo Rovers 2-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 32%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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