Shamrock Rovers 3-0 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.95
X/1
15%
3.52
X/2
6%
15.1
X/X
8%
6.35
2/1
11%
23.15
2/2
10%
12.2
2/X
9%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.45/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.36
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.1 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
366 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
03.11.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
05.06.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-3 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
28.04.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
18.02.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
01.10.2022 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-3 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3-0
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.46 xG 0.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
603 Passes 255
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers swept aside Sligo Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 67% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 33%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.46 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.83 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers 3-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 56%, draw 22%, Sligo Rovers 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers)
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