Dundalk 0-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.5
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
11%
5.93
X/2
17%
4.91
X/X
15%
3.98
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.46
2/X
5%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.18/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
+67% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.6 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St Patricks
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 Passes 227
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
22.09.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
26.06.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
26.05.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
03.03.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 5-0 HT 2-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
07.10.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 1-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.41 xG 1.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
206 Passes 328
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk and St Patricks fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundalk had 44% of the ball to St Patricks's 56%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.41 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundalk and 1.50 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs St Patricks?

Dundalk 0-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 39%, draw 27%, St Patricks 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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