Shelbourne 1-2 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.96
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.36
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
13%
3.85
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.54
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.01/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.97
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
12.7 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.61 xG 0.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 384
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
25.09.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
21.07.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
14.07.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
26.05.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
03.03.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-2
AWAY Bohemians
1.88 xG 1.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
321 Passes 199
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians squeezed past Shelbourne 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Bohemians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 59% of the ball to Bohemians's 41%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.88 to 1.27 — on chances, Shelbourne could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shelbourne and 0.50 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Bohemians?

Shelbourne 1-2 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 40%, draw 31%, Bohemians 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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