Sligo Rovers 2-0 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.94
1/2
9%
22.3
1/X
8%
16.45
X/1
11%
10.35
X/2
17%
3.82
X/X
14%
5.66
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.03
2/X
5%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
0.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.76
-25% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
210 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 75%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
16.9 Crosses 15.8
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.73 xG 1.42
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 415
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
09.03.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
03.11.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
05.06.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-3 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
28.04.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
18.02.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
2-0
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.56 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
249 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers got the better of Shamrock Rovers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 43% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 57%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 0.56 to 1.41 — on chances, Shamrock Rovers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sligo Rovers and 2.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Sligo Rovers 2-0 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 29%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
28 Jun 2024
21:45 Dundalk vs Waterford FC Analysis →
21:45 Shelbourne vs Galway United Analysis →
21:45 St Patricks vs Bohemians Analysis →