Dundalk 0-2 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

Dundalk
0-2 HT 0-2
Waterford FC
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Dundalk vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 37% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.97
X/2
11%
5.98
X/X
15%
4.06
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.46
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundalk v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
0.93/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
-13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
19.1 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Dundalk vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 270
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
15.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
29.10.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.06.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-3 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL

Dundalk 0-2 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-2
AWAY Waterford FC
1.44 xG 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
285 Passes 154
71% Pass Accuracy 58%
23 Box Touches 28
35 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC got the better of Dundalk 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dundalk had 61% of the ball to Waterford FC's 39%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.44 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundalk and 1.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Waterford FC?

Dundalk 0-2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 42%, draw 30%, Waterford FC 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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