Mechelen 2-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.9pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +13%
1.59/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.06
+44% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
17.9 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.57 xG 1.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
372 Passes 422
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
10.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
30.07.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
02.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
01.10.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
2-1
AWAY Club Brugge
2.07 xG 2.04
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
283 Passes 587
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen squeezed past Club Brugge 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mechelen had 34% of the ball to Club Brugge's 66%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 2.07 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mechelen and 1.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Club Brugge?

Mechelen 2-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 33%, draw 21%, Club Brugge 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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