Mechelen 1-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Dec 2024

Mechelen
1-2 HT 0-1
Club Brugge
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Mechelen vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.22
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
12%
11.3
X/2
13%
4.56
X/X
13%
6.34
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.31
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.55
Value flag · 2/X at 16.55 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 60%
+14% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.34/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.09
+18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
19.0 Crosses 20.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Mechelen vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.37 xG 1.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
356 Passes 419
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.07.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
10.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
30.07.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
02.04.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
01.10.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
10.04.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Mechelen 1-2 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
1-2
AWAY Club Brugge
1.46 xG 2.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
439 Passes 371
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge squeezed past Mechelen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mechelen had 54% of the ball to Club Brugge's 46%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.46 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mechelen and 1.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Club Brugge?

Mechelen 1-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 27%, draw 29%, Club Brugge 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
7 Dec 2024
18:00 Genk vs Kortrijk Analysis →
20:15 Standard Liege vs OH Leuven Analysis →
22:45 Gent vs St. Truidense Analysis →