Gent 2-0 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 25% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.43
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
10%
4.59
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
10%
6.25
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
9%
7.53
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.94/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.76
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.6 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 2.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 504
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
25.05.2024 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
23.04.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
01.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 4-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
06.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEK
20.08.2023 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Gent vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent beat St. Truidense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gent and 1.17 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Gent vs St. Truidense?

Gent 2-0 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gent 53%, draw 23%, St. Truidense 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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