St. Truidense 0-2 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.69
2-3 Goals
32%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 33% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.13
1/2
6%
21.45
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.89
X/2
12%
4.72
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
12%
2.51
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · X/1 at 7.89 — our 18% vs market 9.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
30%
+12.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
45%
-15.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.5pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.31/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.46
-29% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.0 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 Passes 444
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 4-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
06.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEK
20.08.2023 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
22.01.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
30.07.2022 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
18.12.2021 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent saw off St. Truidense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Truidense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Truidense and 1.67 for Gent.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Gent?

St. Truidense 0-2 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 43%, draw 27%, Gent 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Truidense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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