Westerlo 1-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 23 Apr 2024

Westerlo
1-1 HT 1-0
OH Leuven
📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Westerlo vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.39
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.74
X/2
13%
5.92
X/X
9%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
15%
3.53
2/X
10%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.74/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.29
+22% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.3 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Westerlo vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 2.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
433 Passes 238
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
40 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
04.11.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.07.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.12.2021 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEK
19.01.2020 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-3 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2

Westerlo 1-1 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-1
AWAY OH Leuven
1.04 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
337 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 26
30 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and OH Leuven couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Westerlo had 52% of the ball to OH Leuven's 48%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.04 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Westerlo and 1.83 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Westerlo 1-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 38%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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