Westerlo 0-3 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Feb 2024

Westerlo
0-3 HT 0-2
OH Leuven
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Westerlo vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.62
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
12%
4.45
X/2
13%
7.44
X/X
14%
4.89
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
12%
5.37
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +24%
2.03/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.48
+40% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.2 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Westerlo vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 2.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
402 Passes 297
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.07.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.12.2021 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEK
19.01.2020 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-3 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
22.11.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 1-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL2

Westerlo 0-3 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
0-3
AWAY OH Leuven
0.94 xG 2.30
74% Ball Possession 26%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
15 Corners 5
496 Passes 119
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
24 Box Touches 15
56 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven ran out comfortable winners over Westerlo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Westerlo had 74% of the ball to OH Leuven's 26%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.94 to 2.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Westerlo and 1.67 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Westerlo 0-3 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 44%, draw 25%, OH Leuven 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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