Kortrijk 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 Feb 2024

Kortrijk
1-0 HT 1-0
Sporting Charleroi
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.55
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
13%
6.43
X/2
14%
4.84
X/X
13%
4.59
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
10%
3.06
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
31%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.44/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.34
-28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
18.9 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
04.03.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
18.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-2 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
25.01.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
02.10.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
30.01.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL

Kortrijk 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-0
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.68 xG 0.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 342
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk squeezed past Sporting Charleroi 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kortrijk as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 44% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 56%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.68 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kortrijk and 1.67 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?

Kortrijk 1-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 41%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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