Standard Liege 1-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.92
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
6%
6.33
X/2
11%
5.6
X/X
16%
4.25
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
4.09
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.40/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.28
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 70%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.9 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-1D-3L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
380 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
05.05.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.09.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.04.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
1-1
AWAY OH Leuven
1.71 xG 1.03
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
228 Passes 471
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
46 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege and OH Leuven shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Standard Liege had 36% of the ball to OH Leuven's 64%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.71 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Standard Liege and 1.50 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

Standard Liege 1-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated an OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 32%, draw 30%, OH Leuven 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OH Leuven), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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