OH Leuven 2-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
15.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.55
X/1
13%
4.36
X/2
7%
7.6
X/X
15%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
9%
5.79
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.85/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.66
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
13.7 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.09.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.04.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
21.08.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
2-0
AWAY Standard Liege
1.04 xG 0.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
415 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven got the better of Standard Liege 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had OH Leuven as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OH Leuven had 62% of the ball to Standard Liege's 38%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.04 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for OH Leuven and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

OH Leuven 2-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 53%, draw 24%, Standard Liege 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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