Beerschot VA 1-2 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
14%
13.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.49 — our 25% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.03
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.98
X/2
13%
5.37
X/X
18%
4.51
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.46
2/X
3%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.37/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.75
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.0 Crosses 30.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Dender EH
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.40 xG 1.03
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
412 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
29.10.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
04.12.2022 Dender EH Dender EH 2-3 HT 0-2 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
16.10.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH edged past Beerschot VA 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dender EH found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Beerschot VA and 1.25 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Dender EH?

Beerschot VA 1-2 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 33%, draw 30%, Dender EH 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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