Mechelen 5-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.92
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.04
X/2
13%
5.43
X/X
14%
4.88
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
3.36
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.87/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.32
+31% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.6 Crosses 18.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
381 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
11.11.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
05.02.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
12.11.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-5 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
14.05.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 1-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.04.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
5-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.48 xG 2.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 25
7 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
306 Passes 457
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 38
3 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen swept aside Sporting Charleroi 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mechelen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mechelen had 41% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 59%, shots finished 11-25, expected goals 2.48 to 2.97 — on chances, Sporting Charleroi could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mechelen and 1.33 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Sporting Charleroi?

Mechelen 5-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 38%, draw 28%, Sporting Charleroi 33%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
31 Aug 2024
19:15 Beerschot VA vs Dender EH Analysis →
21:45 OH Leuven vs Standard Liege Analysis →