Dender EH 1-1 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.29/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.17
+17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
18.4 Crosses 27.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
252 Passes 399
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
04.12.2022 Dender EH Dender EH 2-3 HT 0-2 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
16.10.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-1 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-1
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.34 xG 1.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
253 Passes 450
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH and Beerschot VA shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dender EH had 38% of the ball to Beerschot VA's 62%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.34 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dender EH and 1.33 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Beerschot VA?

Dender EH 1-1 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 41%, draw 23%, Beerschot VA 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dender EH), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dender EH) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
3 Mar 2024
18:00 RFC Seraing vs Patro Eisden Analysis →
21:15 Waasland-Beveren vs KV Oostende Analysis →