Waasland-Beveren 2-3 KV Oostende — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

Waasland-Beveren
2-3 HT 1-0
KV Oostende
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Waasland-Beveren vs KV Oostende Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waasland-Beveren v KV Oostende — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY KV Oostende EU Bookmakers 30%
-20% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.78
-23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.7 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Waasland-Beveren vs KV Oostende Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
5W-0D-1L
AWAY KV Oostende
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 1.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 KV Oostende KV Oostende 0-2 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
03.04.2021 KV Oostende KV Oostende 0-2 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
03.02.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-3 HT 1-1 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEK
24.11.2020 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-0 HT 0-0 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL
18.01.2020 KV Oostende KV Oostende 0-1 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL
05.10.2019 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-1 HT 2-1 KV Oostende KV Oostende BEL

Waasland-Beveren 2-3 KV Oostende — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2-3
AWAY KV Oostende
1.71 xG 0.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
478 Passes 241
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs KV Oostende
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KV Oostende nicked a narrow win over Waasland-Beveren 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Waasland-Beveren at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 63% of the ball to KV Oostende's 37%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.71 to 0.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Waasland-Beveren.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 0.67 for KV Oostende.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs KV Oostende?

Waasland-Beveren 2-3 KV Oostende in the Belgium - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs KV Oostende?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 45%, draw 26%, KV Oostende 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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