OH Leuven 3-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
15%
5.51
X/2
6%
6.21
X/X
12%
5.12
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
15%
3.88
2/X
9%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.70/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.67
+29% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.3 Crosses 17.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 408
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.09.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.04.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
21.08.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
19.12.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
3-1
AWAY Standard Liege
2.34 xG 0.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
361 Passes 379
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven saw off Standard Liege 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had OH Leuven as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 49% of the ball to Standard Liege's 51%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.34 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OH Leuven and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

OH Leuven 3-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 43%, draw 27%, Standard Liege 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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