Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
7%
9.56
X/X
14%
5.24
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
11%
7.2
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -5%
1.96/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.66
+2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.5 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Anderlecht
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.34 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
28.01.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
25.01.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
28.07.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
08.01.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-3 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
28.08.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 2-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
AWAY Anderlecht
1.07 xG 1.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 3
246 Passes 292
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise and Anderlecht fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 47% of the ball to Anderlecht's 53%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.07 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.17 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 49%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 23%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ BTTS Yes
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