Royal Antwerp 1-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 May 2024

Royal Antwerp
1-2 HT 0-0
Club Brugge
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.97
1/2
10%
21.85
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
11%
9.52
X/2
19%
4.09
X/X
12%
5.52
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.16
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 59%
+17% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -27%
0.96/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.98
+8% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
16.4 Crosses 21.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
408 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
04.02.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
29.10.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
21.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
14.05.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
05.02.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL

Royal Antwerp 1-2 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-2
AWAY Club Brugge
1.17 xG 0.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
349 Passes 467
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over Royal Antwerp 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 44% of the ball to Club Brugge's 56%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.17 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Royal Antwerp.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge?

Royal Antwerp 1-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 29%, draw 25%, Club Brugge 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ BTTS No
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