Kortrijk 1-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.5
X/2
14%
7.85
X/X
14%
5.02
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
8%
5.52
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.97/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.64
+0% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.5 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-4D-1L
AWAY AS Eupen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
347 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
02.12.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
20.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
08.04.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
03.09.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
22.01.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-0
AWAY AS Eupen
1.57 xG 0.53
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
437 Passes 207
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk squeezed past AS Eupen 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kortrijk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 63% of the ball to AS Eupen's 37%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kortrijk and 1.00 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs AS Eupen?

Kortrijk 1-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 45%, draw 28%, AS Eupen 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kortrijk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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