AS Eupen 1-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
20%
4.86
X/2
10%
6.33
X/X
14%
4.46
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.58
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.53/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
-6% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.3 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
288 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
20.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
08.04.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
03.09.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
22.01.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
27.11.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-2 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
1-1
AWAY Kortrijk
0.23 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
301 Passes 305
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
7 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen and Kortrijk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AS Eupen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Eupen had 50% of the ball to Kortrijk's 50%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.23 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AS Eupen and 1.00 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Kortrijk?

AS Eupen 1-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 46%, draw 26%, Kortrijk 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Eupen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
7 Apr 2024
14:30 Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →
19:30 Club Brugge vs Anderlecht Analysis →
20:15 Westerlo vs Gent Analysis →