Club Brugge 3-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Apr 2024

Club Brugge
3-1 HT 1-0
Anderlecht
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.06
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.06
X/2
9%
6.54
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
18%
4.41
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge v Anderlecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.68/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.6 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Anderlecht
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
417 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.09.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
15.01.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
16.10.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
22.05.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.05.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL

Club Brugge 3-1 Anderlecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
3-1
AWAY Anderlecht
1.98 xG 1.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
308 Passes 427
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge saw off Anderlecht 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Club Brugge made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 43% of the ball to Anderlecht's 57%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.98 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Club Brugge and 0.83 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Club Brugge 3-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 39%, draw 30%, Anderlecht 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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